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In The Room
Dylan Byers Dylan Byers

Greetings from Los Angeles, and welcome back to In the Room. Congrats to Reed Hastings on his historic run at Netflix. “My real contribution … wasn’t a single decision,” Reed said in a statement. “It was a focus on member joy, building a culture that others could inherit and improve, and building a company that could be both beloved by members and wildly successful for generations to come.” Yes, the stock fell 10 percent on the news, but—and this isn’t investment advice—you can probably buy that dip.

In tonight’s issue, my partner Julia Alexander has an utterly fascinating preview of how agentic A.I. could transform the economics and editorial strategy of the world’s newsrooms. Take your beta-blockers before reading on.

🎙️ Plus, on the latest episode of The Grill Room, Julia and I unpacked Jim Bankoff’s looming sale of the Vox Media assets, and the field of potential vultures circling both the podcast network and New York magazine. Follow The Grill Room on Apple, Spotify, or wherever you prefer to listen.

Also mentioned in this issue: Roger Lynch, Robert Allbritton, Mike Allen, Sam Barry, Maggie Haberman, John Harris, Ben Smith, Jim VandeHei, Jonathan Wald, Brian Williams, Tim Grieve, and more…

 

Open Tab

  • Allbritton’s ‘Star’ power: Robert Allbritton has rebranded NOTUS as The Star, after the old paper his father once owned, The Washington Star. In an interview with the Times, editor-in-chief Tim Grieve said The Star would more than double its newsroom to nearly 100 reporters, grow its coverage of Congress and the White House, and fill the void in local news and sports left by recent layoffs at The Washington Post. The Times reports that Robert will invest $30 million “to get The Star to a self-sustaining level.”

    As I’ve noted, the D.C. executive class is dubious that Robert has a business thesis here beyond bankrolling reporters. And the broader intelligentsia wonders how he and his former Protocol editor could execute a strategy that vanquished Jeff Bezos. Washington, as you know, is a saturated media market with scarce differentiation among media brands—many of which were started by the same handful of guys. Robert’s unwavering support of Politico was essential to its success, but so too were its visionary founders, Jim VandeHei and John Harris, and the early stable of high-metabolism, genre-defining journalists like Mike Allen, Maggie Haberman, and Ben Smith.

    At the risk of being eighty-sixed from some brunches next week, I’d note that Robert’s previous efforts to stand up other media businesses—TBD, Protocol, etcetera—failed fast. In his interview with the Times, Grieve conceded that there would be “a period of time where a portion of our annual funding will have to come from Robert.” The key, of course, is moving past that stage. And if you’re doing politics and policy news in a town already full of it, with some crime and Commanders coverage sprinkled in, you need one-of-a-kind talent.

    In any event, Robert’s ambitions are a positive for journalists. Notably, what most D.C. media execs fear is his capacity to unsettle the market by inflating the salary expectations of the talent he tries to poach. Good for them! If they’re worth keeping, they deserve it.
  • Condé contractions: Condé Nast C.E.O. Roger Lynch is shutting down Self and folding health and wellness coverage into Allure and Glamour, while winding down some of Glamour’s international operations. (Sam Barry, possibly the most nonsensical hire in Anna Wintour’s tenure as the editor of all editors, will also depart as Glamour’s global editorial director.) Yes, this is only the latest milemarker on Condé’s long contraction—a deflation that, as I’ve noted, was both preordained and avoidable.

    Honestly, it’s a wonder the contraction isn’t happening even faster. Remarkably, Condé still maintains 21 brands in its portfolio. In retrospect, it should probably have stopped investing in the lesser titles a decade ago and gone all in on transforming the most prominent brands, including Vogue, Vanity Fair, and The New Yorker, for the digital era and beyond. Instead, it bought Pitchfork (which it has since folded into GQ). Alas, the era keeps ending…
  • And finally… Brian Williams is back! The veteran NBC newsman is launching a new podcast on Netflix, where he will converse with celebrities and newsmakers in an “unscripted” and “unhurried” fashion. “With scientists predicting that every American will have a podcast by 2030, I thought it was time to get in the game,” he said in a statement, his avuncular wit readily apparent.

    Longtime readers have surmised that I’m a Brian fan, and I’m not at all surprised by his return. Like so many marooned ex-TV stars, he’s been trying to find a ticket back to the dance since the day he left. The same goes for his longtime producer and consigliere, Jonathan Wald, who will oversee the show. In this market, a Netflix deal is about as close to a comeback coronation as you get. Congrats to both.

And now, here’s Julia…

Doomsday Prepping for the A.I. Media Apocalypse

Doomsday Prepping for the A.I. Media Apocalypse

The already shell-shocked media business is bracing for yet another existential disruption: a future in which many readers are replaced by A.I. agents summarizing their work—and cutting out the advertisers that are the lifeblood of the industry.

Julia Alexander Julia Alexander

Last week, at a mostly off-the-record event about the attention economy and artificial intelligence hosted by Joe Marchese’s Human Ventures, one chilling hypothetical came up in conversation time and time again: What happens if the bulk of human web traffic is replaced by bots? It’s not really so far-fetched, after all, to imagine a near future in which many readers ultimately get their news from A.I. platforms that can scan every website in a millisecond and summarize, well, anything. Already, many superusers are creating bots, with tools like OpenClaw, to manage their subscriptions and curate what they need to know. And why not? In a world of infinite content, A.I. is the perfect technology to compress thousands of media sources into a single personalized feed.

Some legacy publishers are already taking steps to get ahead of the onslaught. Nick Thompson, the C.E.O. of The Atlantic, has repeatedly spoken about how the company’s product teams are thinking about a world in which timemaxxing readers increasingly rely on A.I. agents to crawl their favorite sites and cut out the middleman. One Reuters Institute study, conducted earlier this year, found that 75 percent of editors and news executives expect agentic apps to have a significant impact on their businesses over the next three years, and that publishers are preparing for website traffic from humans to drop by nearly 50 percent in the same time frame (if it hasn’t already).

In some ways, the A.I. apocalypse is already upon us. Google Zero—the term of art referring to the vertiginous drop in organic search traffic that has occurred as surging numbers of people digest A.I. summaries—has become ubiquitous in the media vernacular. As of February, nearly 60 percent of Google searches (still the primary source of traffic for most news publishers) result in no clicks. Meanwhile, click-through rates from Google users who encounter an A.I. summary amount to only 1 percent, per Pew Research. Other media theorists talk in hushed tones about a future “zombie internet,” in which online interactions between people are largely replaced by communication among bots. For publishers who already barely survived the shift to digital, the S.E.O. wars, and the rise of Instagram, the dawn of the A.I. era might feel like yet another extinction event—and frankly, it probably is.

None of this changes the value of good journalism, of course. On the contrary, as Ben Thompson has argued, the proliferation of infinite slop arguably increases the demand for original reporting, trusted brands, and the communities around them. But if our agentic future comes to pass, the structure and business of media will undoubtedly need to change. And it’s here that the executives who are already contemplating these realities will come out ahead.

The Post-Human Pivot

On the sidelines of the Human Ventures event, I spoke with several industry insiders who outlined how publishers can reconfigure their business strategy and tech stacks to take advantage of the A.I. boom—including by changing their approach to metadata, the back-end gobbledygook that gets fed into Google. Yes, we’ve been down this road before. During the 2010s, an entire generation of digital media companies like BuzzFeed, Business Insider, and HuffPost were built atop that traffic firehose. Later in the decade, they all pivoted to trying to gamify traffic on Facebook and Twitter. In the end, of course, both models proved to be transitory.

Now, as media professor Daniel Trielli recently predicted, we’re likely to see more and more journalism targeting audiences that aren’t human at all. “Agentic journalism would break from our traditional article format,” Trielli wrote for NiemanLab. “A.I. systems do not need ledes, nut-graphs, or narrative flows; they need user-relevant, novel, and machine-readable content.” Even publishers that continue to serve ordinary readers, like The Atlantic, will need a metadata strategy to make their content more appealing to various bots and crawlers.

As ever, the tricky part is finding the correct balance. Traditional publishers waited too long to treat the internet as a dead-serious disruptor, and are still paying the price. At the same time, dozens of ill-fated digital startups leaned too far into optimizing for various S.E.O. gimmicks, like Mark Zuckerberg’s infamous “pivot-to-video,” only to get burned when those algorithms changed. It’s entirely possible that the pivot to A.I. could also be a mirage or head fake, as the industry whipsaws toward another shiny object.

Wise media executives should learn from the recent past that there’s little long-term upside to monetizing third-party platforms. Yes, X and Facebook are still important marketing funnels—and as places where brands need to show up to build awareness. But there’s danger in trying to scale audiences on those platforms, especially if only a tiny sliver of the audience converts to paying subscribers. Media will have the same problem with the A.I. giants: While some outlets have cut licensing deals with OpenAI, nobody is getting significantly paid when their work appears in A.I. summaries—at least not yet. And while publishers need to be thinking about how to optimize content so that it’s competitive in A.I. search and discoverable by A.I. agents, nobody knows exactly how these markets will ultimately function.

For some, the best offense may be a good defense. The New York Times, for one, has sued OpenAI, and when New York Times Company C.E.O. Meredith Kopit Levien was interviewed by Ben Thompson last week, she specifically pushed back on the idea that NYT Cooking, for example, can be replicated by ChatGPT. “The New York Times creates human-led, high-quality news journalism and all this other stuff, including recipes that are better because of the humanity,” she said. “We think in an information ecosystem where it’s harder and harder to find quality stuff—brands are going to matter more, and human-made content is going to matter more.”

Ads Don’t Work on Bots

The other great source of A.I. anxiety in media pertains to the future of advertising. Industry leaders like the Times will continue to be walled gardens for subscribers where advertising flourishes. It’s foolish to assume that no human will ever visit a news website ever again. At the same time, it’s worth considering how the rise of A.I. platforms and agents could impact the advertising market—especially if more consumers shift to using bots for personalized feeds. After all, even if readers maintain subscriptions to their favorite news sites, advertisers aren’t paying for impressions from bots.

That future is still a ways off: Agents remain difficult for the average non-A.I. enthusiast to set up; trust in the information that A.I. platforms surface is still low; and faith in A.I. in general is actually decreasing. Only around 10 percent of A.I. users feel comfortable with fully A.I.-generated news platforms, per the Reuters Institute’s most recent survey into news habits. Perhaps even more damning, less than 20 percent of Americans trust an A.I. system to take an action—even something as simple as summarizing various articles—and 41 percent say they don’t trust A.I. to make recommendations or provide information, per YouGov.

Alas, the lack of clarity surrounding future user behavior makes it all the more difficult for media publishers to figure out where, and when, to invest in A.I.-proofing their businesses. How imperative is it, really, for newsrooms to reinvent themselves to serve bots in addition to people? And how much of the hype around A.I. is being inflated by the tech companies that stand to benefit? Is the agentic web truly the next version of the internet, or is this just another pivot-to-video-esque distraction that’ll lead an already struggling media industry into another dead end? In her interview with Thompson, Kopit Levien expressed an unshakeable faith that her New York Times readership will continue to prioritize human-made content. But, of course, not every media company is the Times.

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