Welcome back to What I’m Hearing, a little early tonight because I’m headed out of the country for the week. Box office guru Scott Mendelson will be here on Thursday, but today I’m ending 2024 with my annual anointment of the Hero of the Year. Drumroll please…
No, the Hero of the Year is not Paramount buyer David Ellison. It’s the seller… Shari Redstone. I’ll explain below.
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Programming note: This week on The Town, Lucas Shaw and I donned our fluffy tuxes and popped some Mumm champagne to award The Townies for the best and worst of the year, and A Complete Unknown producer Peter Jaysen explained Bob Dylan’s conditions for handing over his life rights and music archive. Subscribe here and here.
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Discussed in this issue: Chris McCarthy, Liz Murdoch, Jeremy Strong, David Ellison, Blake Lively, Ted Sarandos, Steph Jones, Justin Baldoni, Jason Reitman, Taylor Swift, Sumner Redstone, Kevin Costner, Chevy Chase, Tony Vinciquerra, Taylor Sheridan, Rupert Murdoch, Bob Bakish, David Zaslav, and… the most brutal Netflix takedown of the year.
But first…
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Who Won the Year: It’s a Poll!
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Vote for your selection HERE, and I’ll reveal my pick next Monday. The nominees are:
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- Greg Peters and Ted Sarandos, the Netflix co-C.E.O.s, for the stock rocketing more than 90 percent in 2024, valuing the streamer more than all traditional entertainment companies combined.
- David Ellison, the Skydance C.E.O., for ascending to mogul status with the pending purchase of Paramount. (A vote for David also includes a vote for dad Larry Ellison; sorry, I don’t make the nepo rules.)
- Taylor Swift, for becoming the first artist to gross $2 billion on one tour…
- Taylor Sheridan, for totally dominating one platform (Paramount+) and finishing his signature show (Yellowstone) strong without its pouting star.
- Donna Langley, the Universal film chief, for rivaling the Disney I.P. machine at the box office, winning best picture (Oppenheimer), and taking over TV for NBCUniversal.
- Snoop Dogg, for again expertly leveraging the Olympics to grow one of the most improbable and enduring entertainment careers.
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Vote only once, please!
Special prize: Who Lost the Year: Bill Ackman
Remember when Ackman’s investment firm sold its entire stake in Netflix in April 2022, after the streamer’s stock crashed, losing about $400 million? Since then, the Netflix stock is up more than 333 percent.
Now, finally, the Hero of the Year…
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In a year when thousands were fired or fled the ever-contracting entertainment business, Paramount owner Shari Redstone finally recognized she couldn’t compete and shrewdly sold the company to a Silicon Valley heir with the means to save the studio, not consolidate it out of existence.
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The wildest aspect of the wildest deal of 2024 has to be the handshake agreement between Shari Redstone, the owner of Paramount Global, and David Ellison, the Oracle heir who searched his father’s couch cushions for most of the $8 billion he spent to buy it from her. Ellison, as I reported more than a year ago now, promised from the onset of talks that he wouldn’t turn around and flip the storied film and television company to another bidder. Yes, he will likely cleave off some lesser assets—a dying cable network here, a streaming joint venture there, $2 billion in cost cuts planned overall—but that’s just triage.
In the great race to consolidate Hollywood for the digital age—a movement that, in 2024, led far too many industry moguls to embarrass themselves by publicly cheerleading for M&A activity that would wipe out entire studios and decimate the creative output they claim to care about—Redstone liked Ellison’s pitch because it was the opposite. He and his father would buy her studio and leverage the family’s wealth to, ultimately, try to save it.
That informal covenant—one of many, many odd aspects of the Paramount/Skydance transaction that unfolded through most of a tumultuous 2024—was more appealing to Redstone than might be expected. If she had simply chosen to auction off her family’s media assets one by one, few would have blamed her. As the controlling shareholder of National Amusements Inc.—which in turn owns Paramount, which itself comprises everything from CBS to BET to Paramount+ to the studio lot and the flowers on Michael Bay Avenue—that was her right, and probably would have netted her more.
But she didn’t.
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A MESSAGE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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ANORA IS THE MOST AWARDED AND ACCLAIMED
FILM OF THE YEAR.
Awarded the prestigious Palme d’Or at the Cannes Film Festival, it was just crowned The Best Movie of 2024 in IndieWire’s poll of 177 critics.
It is now nominated for 5 Golden Globe® Awards and
7 Critics Choice Awards, including
BEST PICTURE, BEST ACTRESS, AND BEST
DIRECTOR.
A culmination of twenty-five years of filmmaking from writer/director/editor Sean Baker, ANORA is a film that
”reaffirms that movies are still capable of generating miracles." (Rolling Stone)
Anchored by an
electrifying Mikey Madison who delivers
"the performance of the year" (Awards Radar),
ANORA is a timeless and unforgettable cinematic experience.
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It’s still early, of course. The complex transaction must still be cleared by government regulators at a time when the incoming U.S. president is suing CBS News for $10 billion. And Ellison and his deputy, Jeff Shell, could easily renege on their promises or squander the goodwill they just bought. It’s a lot easier to talk about saving a company than to figure out how to replace linear TV dollars with streaming dimes and nickels—without just firing everyone or floating the whole thing as a billionaire vanity project. Neither Ellison nor Shell nor their backers, Larry Ellison and Gerry Cardinale at RedBird Capital, has explained their turnaround strategy beyond platitudes.
But if the deal closes as expected, and Paramount is purchased by Skydance Media sometime next year, it’s safe to say that Hollywood, or at least one of its founding studios, will have temporarily dodged a bullet. At the end of a bleak 2024, that qualifies Shari Redstone as heroic.
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Giving Paramount a Future
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I know. It’s not like Shari’s options were great. After years of claiming Paramount could compete in the streaming age, the walls of the cable TV business were finally collapsing in on her. In late 2019, when she re-merged CBS and Viacom after wresting control of her father’s empire from his scheming girlfriends and cronies, Shari probably should have pulled a Rupert Murdoch and sold immediately. Even when Sumner Redstone finally died, in August 2020, ViacomCBS, the precursor to Paramount Global, had an enterprise value of about $35 billion and a market valuation of about $16 billion, per CNBC.
Certainly not among the biggest media companies in the world, as Viacom was just after it acquired CBS in 2000. (That, incidentally, was the same year that Reed Hastings offered to sell Netflix to Blockbuster Video for $50 million. Yes, Blockbuster was owned by Viacom at the time.) Viacom, with its youth-focused cable networks, soon struggled to compete for advertising with the tech giants that Sumner once scoffed at with his “content is king” mantra. Eventually, it became clear that on the internet, the real king was scale and algorithmic targeting. As of Friday, after a year in which Paramount wrote down those cable networks by $6 billion, the company’s enterprise value had fallen to less than $20 billion, with a market cap of just $7.4 billion, including a 28 percent decline in the share price this year. By comparison, the Netflix market cap is nearly $400 billion now, a truly stunning reversal of fortunes over 25 years.
All the more reason for Shari to finally cash out. Every day she held on to the TV assets, they became less valuable. It was getting embarrassing. And as we learned from the recent proxy filing, none of Paramount’s other suitors were really that serious—or at least they divined Redstone’s preference for Ellison and never got serious. There was the sweaty flirtation from David Zaslav of Warner Bros. Discovery, the Apollo-backed Sony overture that would have disassembled the company, even a pitch from Yellowstone producer Ron Burkle. Shari didn’t build this company, her father did, and he treated her terribly for much of her adult life. Selling it for parts would have not only been understandable but, in many ways, poetic justice.
Yet from the beginning, it was clear Shari wanted this buyer: The 41-year-old Ellison actually likes the entertainment business, he’s got a strong chance of getting approved—and, yeah, as of Friday, his father is worth $217 billion,the third-richest man in the world. Ellison would make a meaningful difference not just for the price Redstone would get—about $2 billion in cash for her interests—but in providing a potential future for the company. A chance for Paramount to survive.
Along the rocky path to the deal, Shari fired her handpicked C.E.O., Bob Bakish, who was pursuing alternative bidders. Several board members quit on her. The deal talks fell apart in June, only to be quickly resurrected by Ellison, and she’s been sued a few times by fellow shareholders who are skeptical of the economics. But the deal happened. Shari made the sharpest move of her entertainment career by getting the hell out of entertainment, even if it was years too late, and even if a source close to her says she’s feeling “bittersweet” about it now.
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I wouldn’t expect Redstone to be involved much post-closing, despite her consulting arrangement and the fact that Skydance is paying for her Manhattan apartment for two additional years. And her current co-C.E.O trio, the guys we still aren’t calling the Pep Boys, will be broken up. As Bloomberg and the Journal reported, Brian Robbins will be replaced by Skydance’s Dana Goldberg at the Paramount film studio. And they’re planning to consolidate the TV networks group under George Cheeks, the current head of CBS, who is expected to stay on post-merger if he isn’t lured away by a better offer. Cindy Holland, the former Netflix TV executive, is consulting for Skydance and is already strategizing for Paramount+ and Pluto TV. Among Holland’s first projects, I’m told, will likely be The Best of Us, a Jeremy Strong-led series about 9/11 first responders from writer Tobias Lindholm and journalist Chris Smith. (That project was set up at Holland’s previous company, Liz Murdoch’s Sister, and there’s a pending deal with Skydance to acquire it with the expectation that it could go to Paramount when the Ellison transaction closes.)
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That doesn’t leave a major role for Chris McCarthy, who runs the cable channels and the lucrative Taylor Sheridan business for Paramount+. Paramount and Skydance both declined to comment on McCarthy’s future, but my sources would be surprised if he stays, and he has been taking meetings and touting his Sheridan success around L.A. lately.
There’s other stuff in the works from the Ellison team, which continues to hold integration meetings at Paramount as the sale process proceeds. But for now, let’s offer a moment of gallows recognition for Shari Redstone. In a year when downsizing and contractions eliminated thousands of people from entertainment, the smartest thing a legacy Hollywood mogul could do was to get out.
Previous Heroes of the Year…
2023: Ynon Kreiz ( click here)
2022: David Ellison ( click here)
2021: Bela Bajaria ( click here)
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“These are not terrible films. They were just destroyed by the critics in the press, for some reason.”
— Tony Vinciquerra, the departing Sony Pictures C.E.O., ruining a perfectly benign exit interview with the L.A. Times by blaming the media for the failures of Madame Web and Kraven the Hunter.
Runners-up, Chevy Chase-being-an-asshole-to-filmmakers edition:
“Well, you should be embarrassed.”
—Chevy, to director Jason Reitman after an early screening of Saturday Night, according to Reitman on the Fly on the Wall podcast.
“Wait a second. You’re the director? … I thought you were a drummer.”
—Also Chevy, 40 minutes into a dinner meeting in the late ’80s with Chris Columbus, who was hired to direct Christmas Vacation. Columbus quit the movie and made Home Alone instead, he told Vanity Fair while promoting Nosferatu.
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A couple year-end long reads:
Ted Sarandos definitely doesn’t want you to read “Casual Viewing” by Will Tavlin, as searing an indictment as I’ve ever read of how the Netflix business model and its style of movies killed Hollywood: “A pyramid scheme of attention, with no end in sight.” [ N+1]
Joe Adalian argues that the broadcast networks have stayed semi-relevant by tweaking the shows and tailoring them for a linear and streaming audience. [ Vulture]
Can someone translate this Justin Baldoni speech, “What If Birth and Death Are Actually the Same?” that he recorded for his church? [ Baha’i Teachings]
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No surprise, Blake Lively vs. Justin Baldoni vs. Steph Jones vs. Melissa Nathan and Jen Abel dominated my emails this week. Some examples…
“[This situation] makes me crazy for two reasons: One, it makes people who do this work honestly and ethically look bad. It’s also now what half the town will be saying they think people should be doing. How many execs are reading this thinking, ‘I wish my people thought that way’?” —A communications strategist
“The P.R. world has enough problems with credibility, we don’t need these scumbags ruining what’s actually an important discipline for surfacing facts in a world of misinformation gone wild.” —A crisis P.R. person
“I quibble slightly with your [headline] in that it seemingly places all the blame on the publicists. Everyone in this business knows that every actor is the captain of his/her own team. This kind of shit is exactly why I left L.A. and it is an example of why you, I, or anyone can walk into the movieplex and deduce how every movie will end based on the poster: the mediocrity that comes from a city of navel-gazing assholes.” —An actor
“What incentive is there for male talent to remain on the left? If you stick with MAGA thugs, you can say and do whatever you want and your agents at WME will celebrate you. It’s the liberal male celebrities who transgress who get destroyed. The ‘male feminist’ brand never ends well.” —A producer
“Curious who the Villain of the Year was going to be prior to this past week.” —Another producer
If you must know, here were my Villain of the Year runners-up:
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- Kevin Costner, for taking his mysterious investors (and Warner Bros.) on the doomed journey of Horizon: An American Saga: Part One and the still-unreleased Horizon: An American Saga: Part Two (R.I.P. to Horizon: An American Saga: Part Three and Horizon: An American Saga: Part Four)
- Jeffrey Katzenberg (a reader submission), for being the Biden fundraiser/Weekend at Bernie’s co-conspirator that Hollywood decided to blame for the failings of the entire Democratic Party
- Rupert Murdoch, for traveling all the way to a Reno probate courtroom just to try to deny three of his children a say in the direction of his media empire when he dies
- The bankers who gave the production companies of LeBron James, Reese Witherspoon, and other celebrities those inflated valuations that came crashing down this year
- The word “rightsizing,” the lamest and most overused euphemism for the massive layoffs that dominated the year.
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Are superheroes back? Captain America: Brave New World (February 14) is comparing favorably to previous MCU titles, according to the new early tracking chart from The Quorum…
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Have a restful week,
Matt
Got a question, comment, complaint, or your own personal hero of the year? Email me at Matt@puck.news or call/text me at 310-804-3198.
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