House Republicans are determined to defy history and maintain control of the House in the first midterm of their party’s presidential term, although you wouldn’t know it from the way they’re mostly ignoring the polls. According to the latest Washington Post–Ipsos survey, Donald Trump is underwater on all of the key issues from his campaign, with about six in 10 Americans disapproving of his handling of the economy and immigration—the two issues that propelled him to victory in 2024. That poll is not an outlier. Trump’s overall favorability has fallen considerably since his inauguration, from nearly 50 percent in late January to about 40 percent today. Even Joe Biden was more popular at this point in his presidency.