Ukraine on the Brink

Running low on ammunition and soldiers, and with U.S. aid held hostage by politics, Ukraine is struggling to withstand the Russian siege. But the outcome of the war isn’t written in stone—yet. If it can hold on until 2025, when more military capacity will finally come online, Ukraine might not win back all its territory, but it might very well not lose.

As the war drags on with no end in sight, Ukrainian casualties mount, and those who have already been mobilized haven’t been allowed to come home, there’s little stomach for proposals to send more people into the meat grinder. Photo: Alexey Furman/Getty Images

Julia Ioffe

March 13, 2024

As of this morning, there are now two discharge petitions gathering signatures in the House to get around Mike Johnson’s refusal to bring the Senate aid package for Ukraine and Israel—including $60 billion in crucial military assistance to Kyiv—to a vote. The House speaker has vowed to do everything he can to get in its way. American military aid ran out in December and, ever since, the Ukrainian army has been rationing ammunition as it begins to run out.