Welcome back to The Varsity. I’m John Ourand, and I definitely was
not keeping one eye on the Orioles’ dominating 8–2 win at Fenway this afternoon. (Three games under .500, but just one game out of the wild card…)
Early next week, my travel schedule takes me to New York for Game 3 at the Garden, where Trump and Mamdani will be in attendance. Then I’m off to the Hamptons for Jessica Reif Ehrlich’s great annual Media in Montauk event, where I’m moderating a Wednesday panel on the business of
sports media. If you’re there, make sure to say hello.
🚨 Pod alert: Swin Cash, the WNBA Hall of Famer and analyst on Amazon Prime, will join The Varsity this weekend to talk about the WNBA’s growth prospects, the business behind the NBA Finals, and her work championing women in sports business. Also, make sure you check out yesterday’s episode: ESPN’s Burke Magnus dove into the network’s relationships with various leagues. Listen
here and here.
In tonight’s issue, a close look at the remarkable trajectory of the UFC. It was banned in New York a decade ago, and now it’s setting up shop on the White House lawn. Indeed, every financial analyst I spoke with was effusive
in their praise for TKO and how they’ve grown that business. As usual on Thursdays, the story is available only to Inner Circle members, so be sure to upgrade here if you haven’t already. It’s more than worth it, and you can expense it.
Also mentioned in this issue: Dana White, Ilia Topuria, Justin Gaethje, Alex
Pereira, Ciryl Gane, Conor McGregor, Jon Jones, Brock Lesnar, Ronda Rousey, James Dolan, Leon Rose, Herb Simon, Cathy Engelbert, Roger Goodell, Jim Jordan, Ted Ullyot, Tony Petitti, Matt Norlander, David Ellison, Russell
Wilson, Kyle Long, Joe Rogan, Curry Baker, Brandon Ross, and more.
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Player of the Week: James Dolan
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The Knicks won their 12th straight playoff game last night and are three wins away from claiming
the Larry O’Brien Trophy. But somehow, one of the league’s most hated owners has remained in the background. I recommend this WSJ story from Robert O’Connell and Katherine Sayre, which attributed the Knicks’ success to James Dolan’s decision to cede control to Leon Rose.
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Down to the J.V.: Herb Simon
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The Indiana Fever’s decision to revoke the credentials of a reporter who wrote things the team
didn’t like is a terrible look for the WNBA, which has spent the better part of 30 years fighting to be taken seriously. It’s totally amateur hour, and a black mark on team owner Herb Simon. It’s hard to believe that WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert hasn’t stepped in yet.
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- Thanks, but no thanks: Loyal readers won’t be surprised to hear that Roger Goodell will not appear in front of Rep. Jim Jordan’s House Judiciary Committee next week for a hearing on the Sports Broadcasting Act. (On Tuesday, I reported that he would “politely decline” the invitation.)
Nonetheless, it was interesting to see how he decided to back out.
According to a letter that NFL general counsel Ted Ullyot sent to Jordan late Wednesday, the league isn’t buying the committee’s argument that the flight of sports to streaming has impacted traditional broadcasters. Ullyot asserted, in fact, that the move to sell games to Netflix, YouTube, and Amazon has no effect on broadcast television. “As technologies have presented new ways to distribute
video content, viewing habits have changed, and we have adjusted our approach, but to be clear, this has not come at the expense of our dedication to broadcast television,” he wrote. The letter goes on to say that the streaming services “offer significantly more reach than the current pay-TV ecosystem. … Broadcast television remains the foundation of our media distribution.”
So, yes, the NFL will sell its games to whomever it wants as long as broadcast television remains a viable part of
the culture, thereby enlarging and sharpening its market and enriching itself. The league isn’t merely the most powerful player in media or pro sports—it’s also not taking orders from the U.S. government. - Michigan’s Miami off-site: Remember a couple of months ago, when Michigan’s Board of Regents publicly opposed Big Ten commissioner Tony Petitti’s move to take on $2.4 billion in private equity investment? I’ve long
suspected that Michigan’s relationship with its conference is more strained than many want to admit. At the very least, that thought popped into my mind when I read Matt Norlander’s story about how Michigan is moving its basketball game against Duke to Miami this
December to circumvent the conference’s media rights deal.
The move to the Miami Marlins’ LoanDepot Park hasn’t been finalized, but my sources say the December 21 game will almost certainly happen, and will be carried by Amazon Prime. Originally, MSG was going to host the game in New York. But Fox, which controls the Big Ten rights, objected to the concept. Via Rutgers’ in-name-only membership in the Big Ten, Fox controls all games played in New York that feature one of the conference’s
teams. So Michigan is taking its talents to South Beach. - A tale of two cities: In the eight months since Paramount hired Bari Weiss, CBS News has lurched from one fire drill to another—layoffs, a newsroom exodus, a not-ready-for-primetime Tony Dokoupil promotion, and, just this week, the Scott Pelley firing at 60 Minutes. (Speaking of which, if you’re not reading my Puck partner Dylan
Byers’s chronicling of this circular firing squad, you’re missing out. Sign up for his private email, In the Room, here.)
CBS Sports, meanwhile, has been devoid of drama despite working through some complex dealings. David Ellison’s purchase of Paramount triggered a change-of-control clause that allowed the NFL to open up its CBS rights deal. The two sides
have been negotiating this point for months, without any rancor, according to league sources. Days after Ellison’s purchase became official, Paramount announced a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal for UFC rights. CBS has integrated the UFC into its portfolio without a hitch. CBS Sports is also no stranger to big personalities: Just today, the network announced that it added Russell Wilson and Kyle Long to its NFL pregame show.
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The UFC is at the beginning of a seven-year, $7.7 billion media deal, the envy of
every other emerging sports outfit in the world, and about to reach the ultimate mark of Trump II cultural dominance with a much-hyped fight card on the White House lawn. So where are all its new stars?
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Sure, the UFC’s extraordinary run of success under Dana White long predates the
Trump era. But ever since 45/47 descended the golden escalator, the league White bought for $2 million in 2001 has reached remarkable heights. The outfit is six months into a seven-year, $7.7 billion media rights deal with Paramount; it has multimillion-dollar sponsorship deals with brands like Bud Light, Meta, Monster Energy, and Ram Trucks through the end of the decade; and 10 days from now, it will host a card on the White House lawn, heretofore the site of Easter egg rolls
and Thanksgiving turkey pardons. Not bad for a league that was still banned in the state of New York 10 years ago.
In many ways, the June 14 event signals how far the organization has invaded the mainstream. The temporary arena, dubbed “The Claw,” will accommodate between 4,000 and 5,000 fans, and has become the stuff of memes and group chats as it has slowly been erected this spring. But some in the sports world have started to openly wonder whether White’s genuinely close friendship
with Trump is good for the business in the long term. A couple weeks ago, even UFC commentator and manosphere chieftain Joe Rogan dismissed the spectacle as the “White House thing,” before distilling his impressions more simply: “I don’t like it.” (Rogan still will be ringside…)
That said, nearly every sports media professional I heard from this week believes the UFC still has much more room to grow. “There’s just very little risk to the
business,” Guggenheim’s Curry Baker told me. It’s a common sentiment among financial analysts, who point to the UFC’s myriad long-term deals and the remarkable upside to the Paramount partnership, which involved scrapping the pay-per-view regime that prevented the league’s expansion under ESPN. “UFC is at the apex of exposure right now,” said LightShed’s Brandon Ross, “given that it went from a pay-per-view model where not that many people were seeing their best
content, to being very well-featured with easy access on CBS and Paramount+.” (Interestingly, CBS is not scheduled to carry any of the White House fights, although Paramount+ will stream it all.)
And yet, while financial analysts are generally positive about the UFC’s future, they see some potential red flags the sport needs to address. The biggest issue—raised by nearly every analyst I chatted with—was the absence of household names currently fighting in the octagon. “It starts
with star generation,” said Wolfe Research’s Peter Supino. “The league is in a soft patch for superstars, and it needs to come up with more.” Take next week’s White House fight, which features two main events and four fighters (Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje and Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane) whom almost no one beyond the league’s existing fans
will recognize.
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UFC officials will point to long-term deals and attendance as evidence that the lack of
stars hasn’t hurt the business. But that doesn’t mean the dynamic hasn’t hindered growth.
The organization built its brand on the backs of well-known crossover stars such as Conor McGregor, Jon Jones, Brock Lesnar, and Ronda Rousey. But, the problem isn’t unique to the UFC. “I see that as the ebbs and flows of all sports,” LightShed’s Ross told me. “Sometimes you have the Knicks and Spurs in
the NBA Finals, and other times you have Oklahoma City and Indiana.”
Ross also noted that McGregor will return to the octagon on July 11 in Vegas, and that the White House event, given the sheer spectacle of it all, will lead to a ton of visibility. “You’re seeing the content cycle for at least the next quarter or so coming back into focus,” Ross said. “With all this additional exposure, highlighted by the White House, UFC should continue to grow. Exposure does a lot to bring new
fans to the table.”
But the UFC also faces some longer-term pressure to justify the valuation that emerged from the Paramount deal. If growth begins to stall, as several analysts pointed out, that could certainly jeopardize the next media rights deal in 2032. (Yes, yes, that’s still six years away…) At least for now, White probably isn’t losing any sleep over the prospect. His league is young and year-round, and Paramount is marketing it like crazy. Maybe staying buddied up with
Trump wasn’t a bad idea after all.
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On the bundle’s revenge: “I was especially amused with your podcast on Sunday, when you
discussed the MoffettNathanson piece saying the bundle was being re-created (mainly by Charter) and might be acting to slow cord-cutting. Here in the U.K., Sky has used a similar strategy. Charter has had some success, such that its TV losses had slowed right down. But Comcast is having less success, which is ironic given that it now owns Sky.” —A media executive
On the NBA Finals: “ESPN is going to have to really step up their game for the Finals and going forward,
because NBC just showed everyone how to make a broadcast look like an event. ESPN has some catching up to do.” —A Varsity subscriber
Errata: “Mike McQuade’s last name was misspelled in your column. While McQuade is quite humble and unlikely to mention it himself, I figured you’d want to know.” —A media executive
[Ed. note: This is one of nearly a dozen notes I received after misspelling McQuade’s name on Tuesday. My
sincere apologies to Mike for the error.]
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Have a great weekend. See you Monday.
John
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Puck fashion correspondent Lauren Sherman and a rotating cast of industry insiders take you deep behind the scenes of
this multitrillion-dollar biz, from creative director switcheroos to M&A drama, D.T.C. downfalls, and magazine mishaps. Fashion People is an extension of Line Sheet, Lauren’s private email for Puck, where she tracks what’s happening beyond the press releases in fashion, beauty, and media. New episodes publish every Tuesday and Friday.
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Ace media reporter Dylan Byers brings readers into the C-suite as he chronicles the biggest stories in the industry:
the future of cable news in the streaming era, the transformation of legacy publishers, the tech giants remaking the market, and all the egos involved.
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