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Welcome back to The Stratosphere.
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Tonight, did you know about the Silicon Valley leader who has quietly been meeting with Biden primary challenger Dean Phillips? That story, below.
But first… speaking of Biden…
- All friends here: The president will be back in San Francisco next week for the highly anticipated Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, which will include a sidelines sit-down with Xi Jinping. Far less consequential, but also on the schedule, is a fundraising dinner on Nov. 14 with Kamala Harris and special guest Gavin Newsom, according to an invitation passed my way. (Doubtful this does anything to quiet the mounting, post-New York Times-poll speculation that Newsom is positioning himself as a 2024 backup candidate if Biden unexpectedly drops out.)
Tickets at the $1,000 minimum level are already sold out, but don’t worry—there’s plenty of availability if you want to shell out the $200,000 maximum ticket price for the photo line. I know there were some sensitivities in Biden world about scheduling a partisan event on the outskirts of a high-stakes international summit, but hey, that’s what the money is for.
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| President of the Biden-Skeptic Billionaires |
| Sam Altman, the OpenAI chief, has taken a profound interest in testing which Democrat could best challenge Trump in 2024. After talking with many of the party’s top operatives, he became convinced it was not Joe Biden. But… Dean Phillips? |
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| This past Friday morning in San Francisco, Dean Phillips—the Democratic congressman waging a quixotic primary challenge against Joe Biden—arrived at the doorstep of one of the most important people in Silicon Valley: Sam Altman, the C.E.O. of OpenAI. A Democratic power player who, a political lifetime ago, considered running for governor of California, Altman has some eclectic views that don’t fit neatly into progressive dogma. But like most liberals in tech, he has been deeply unnerved by the real and growing threat of a second Donald Trump presidency. Thus, the Altman-Phillips summit in Russian Hill.
Altman, over the last 18 months or so, has ascended from mere Silicon Valley celebrity into a new stratosphere in the culture, cheerily proselytizing the A.I. revolution to regulators in Washington. All the while, he has refrained from speaking publicly about his own political plots. But behind the scenes, the baby-faced former Y Combinator chief has recently made it clear to friends and Phillips aides that he is considering playing a major role in supporting Phillips’s presidential run over the next few months. (Altman, who is not yet ready to discuss his involvement publicly, declined my interview request.)
All throughout 2022, in conversations with friends in tech and politics, Altman became convinced that Biden could not win reelection—and, perhaps, might not even run. And so Altman convened a series of private gatherings, none of which was previously reported, centered on identifying and recruiting a viable Biden alternative who could prevent Trump’s return. Altman, I’m told, used some of his own money while also raising a little from like-minded friends in Silicon Valley, to finance focus groups and polling to ascertain how voters felt about Biden and Trump. It was a fairly small, informally organized effort, but it spoke to Altman’s brewing concerns—a sentiment that was validated over the weekend when The New York Times published a set of polls showing Biden losing to Trump in five key swing states, setting off another round of bed wetting in Washington.
Despite all of that, Altman and Phillips didn’t actually meet each other until relatively recently, when they were connected through Andrew Yang, an early Phillips backer, and Altman’s political adviser Scott Krisiloff. (Yang’s 2020 presidential campaign manager, Zach Graumann, is now reprising his role as Phillips’s campaign manager.) But during their hour-long meet-up on Friday, Phillips and Altman talked about everything, from the best messaging around Biden’s poll numbers to whether Phillips has the infrastructure, in New Hampshire and elsewhere, needed to dethrone the incumbent president.
Phillips’s people seem to have gotten the impression over the last few weeks that Altman is fully on board—one Phillips campaign adviser told me that Altman would be “integral,” even “embedded” in the operation. But at this point, that strikes me as… a little wishful thinking. Altman, I’m told, hasn’t yet committed to anything beyond spending more time with Phillips over the coming weeks and giving his candidacy serious consideration. “Sam is intrigued,” said a person familiar with his thinking. “I don’t know what it will actually pan out into. Sam is very worried that Trump is going to get elected. That’s where he’s coming from.” |
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| There are a billion reasons why Dean Phillips will not be the Democratic nominee: his lack of name ID, campaign infrastructure, institutional support. And then there is the issue of money: Phillips, a liquor industry heir who founded a successful gelato company, has committed $2 million of his own to the race, I’m told, and his aides are talking openly about quickly standing up a super PAC to harvest what they claim is significant pent-up support from major Democratic donors. “I can tell you that I have received a number of calls from people saying, ‘You set [a super PAC] up, I will be supporting [it],’” said an individual raising money for Phillips. “One person went so far as to say, ‘The minute it’s set up, I assure you I will be the single largest donor to that super PAC.’”
I’m a skeptic. Phillips, for his part, has quietly been shaking the money tree as best he can. On Thursday, just six days after launching his presidential bid, he touched down in San Francisco not just for a last-minute public event with the effervescent political café owner Manny Yekutiel, but also, I’ve learned, a fundraiser hosted by Anne Pedrero, an heir to the Cargill fortune who has known Phillips since 8th grade and also went to Brown with him. (Another Phillips friend from Brown is Uber C.E.O. Dara Khosrowshahi.) Between 40 and 50 people crowded into Pedrero’s home in Presidio Heights for a wine and cheese mixer that was originally planned as a fundraiser for Phillips’s congressional campaign but pivoted quickly into a presidential event. Steve Schmidt, the ex-Republican political consultant behind the Phillips bid, spoke at each event as a warm-up act.
Then it was on to Los Angeles, where Phillips did Real Time With Bill Maher and held two finance events over the weekend. Impressively, the first fundraiser attracted 90 people, on just a few days’ notice, to the backyard of Phillips’s cousin, Los Angeles real estate developer Bruce Karatz and his wife, socialite Lilly Tartikoff. (The event, however, only had a “suggested contribution,” according to the invite I saw, as low as $100.) On Sunday evening, about 60 people came to a Bel Air home for a similarly donation-optional fundraiser, an attendee told me. (One invite I saw featured Schmidt’s name and photo in almost the same size as Phillips’s, as if they were running mates, which will do little to tamp down the suspicion among Phillips critics that this campaign is as much about the former McCain consultant as it is about the presidential candidate.) On Monday, he flew back across the country for another fundraiser in New York.
Campaign aides declined to say how much these four events actually raised, although one insisted they had “eight figures in commitments across the spectrum in these fundraising meetings this weekend.” To execute high-dollar fundraisers for him, Phillips made a nontraditional choice in hiring Amanda Wurtz, a consultant in Greenwich who has worked in the family-office industry for the last decade.
Among the topics in Phillips’s stump speeches at these events has been artificial intelligence, as in: how A.I. can maybe help a scrappy candidate make a dent in the race with less money, perhaps via campaign policy research, for instance. That subject, surprisingly, didn’t come up when he sat down privately with the C.E.O. of the most important A.I. company today. |
| Maybe Not His First Choice… |
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| There are other anti-Biden Democratic billionaires that Phillips could woo, but the courtship of Altman feels especially uncertain. Altman, after all, may have the money and the clout to elevate Phillips’s profile—he tweeted that he was “curious” about him on Election Day—but he’s also the C.E.O. of a highly scrutinized company that needs to play nice with Washington. Altman gave $200,000 to boost Biden earlier this year, and was a special guest at the White House twice this year. Separating his personal ambitions and professional obligations may not be worth the risk. To say nothing about whether Phillips is even worth Altman’s time these days.
Landing Altman would nevertheless be a coup. Altman has innumerable wealthy contacts—a Rolodex that’s a veritable who’s who of Silicon Valley—and I have no doubt that he and his friends could raise an easy $20 million or $30 million for that in-development super PAC. Altman has a reputation as a man in a hurry, famous among his peers for his responsiveness and boyish charm and good-guy reputation. He has indisputable credibility in the industry—which is why I was so interested last year when I was made aware of Altman’s flirtations with non-Biden candidates.
Phillips isn’t, of course, his first choice. After Trump’s win in 2016, Altman famously went on a road trip to talk to Trump voters; more recently, he has also explored supporting potential Republican rivals who could primary Trump, such as Will Hurd. Earlier this year, I’m told that Altman—like a bunch of other rich Democrats—even made a last-ditch effort to call around to various, more established Democratic officeholders he knew, trying to convince them to toss their hat in the ring. None of that landed.
Alas, this might not either. Altman didn’t know Phillips before a few months ago, but Altman’s recent political advisers, Scott Krisiloff and his brother, Matt, have gotten wired into the campaign and are spending a good amount of personal time helping to organize events and donors on Phillips’s behalf. And perhaps some additional startup capital from Altman is the logical next step. After all, Sam Altman may not have chosen Dean Phillips, but sometimes in life, that is just who shows on your doorstep. |
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| FOUR STORIES WE’RE TALKING ABOUT |
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