• Washington
  • Wall Street
  • A.I.
  • Hollywood
  • Media
  • Fashion
  • Sports
  • Art
  • Join Puck Newsletters What is puck? Authors Podcasts Gift Puck Careers Events
  • Join Puck

    Directly Supporting Authors

    A new economic model in which writers are also partners in the business.

    Personalized Subscriptions

    Customize your settings to receive the newsletters you want from the authors you follow.

    Stay in the Know

    Connect directly with Puck talent through email and exclusive events.

  • What is puck? Newsletters Authors Podcasts Events Gift Puck Careers

{{ 'now' | timezone: 'America/New_York' | date: '%b %d, %Y' }}

The Best & The Brightest
Bayer
Peter Hamby Peter Hamby

Happy Tuesday. Welcome back to The Best & The Brightest. I’m Peter Hamby.

Tonight, a dispatch from my adopted state of California, where Gavin Newsom’s brash and expensive campaign to re-gerrymander the state in favor of Democrats seems like a surefire winner in November and positions him as Donald Trump’s chief foil. But despite a polling lead and a platoon of famous Dem faces showing up for Prop 50, Team Newsom still has work to do to convince voters that this off-year election is worth their time…

A MESSAGE FROM BAYER

Bayer

What Section 453 really means 

Section 453 doesn’t block lawsuits or give blanket immunity to pesticide companies. 

Section 453 ensures labels are based on the EPA’s safety assessment under their guidelines and keeps companies accountable when they break these. 

Explore more about Section 453 here

But first…

Abby Livingston Abby Livingston
  • Obama gets in the ring: In his most direct political intervention since Trump’s second election, Barack Obama appeared in a new ad telling California voters that “democracy is on the ballot” in the state’s redistricting initiative this November. Democrats are increasingly bullish that the measure, which would likely result in a five-seat pickup for their party in the state, will pass, and they’ve already outspent Republicans on TV ads by nearly $40 million. Now they’ve deployed the former president to make a closing argument in the campaign’s final weeks.

    Speaking directly to the camera over an end-of-the-world musical score, the former president told Californians that “the whole nation” is counting on them to prevent Republicans from “steal[ing] enough seats in Congress to rig the next election.” Of course, he’s referring to successful efforts in Texas and Missouri to gain Republican House seats through redistricting, and proposed efforts elsewhere.

    Obama’s sharp language is a departure from the low-key tone he struck over the past 10-ish months, while headlining private fundraisers for the California redistricting cause and making mostly indirect comments about Trump. But the Republican aggression on mid-decade redistricting clearly angered him enough to abandon his once-held view that gerrymandering is a scourge in American politics—at least at the moment.

And speaking of California…

Newsom Player Haters & The ’28 Proxy War

Newsom Player Haters & The ’28 Proxy War

Democrats have poured more than $140 million into the off-cycle ballot initiative to gerrymander California, counter Trump’s efforts to manipulate the midterms, and—perhaps most importantly—hand Gavin Newsom the political trophy he needs to cement his status as the presumptive Democratic frontrunner in 2028. But there are plenty of voters who don’t trust Gavin, too.

Peter Hamby Peter Hamby

The campaign for Proposition 50 in California—Gavin Newsom’s audacious and expensive “Election Rigging Response Act” to fight back against Trump-led gerrymandering efforts in Republican states—has a little something for everyone. Want to save democracy? Vote Yes on 50. Fed up with ICE raids? Vote Yes on 50. Think the president is a dictator? Vote Yes on 50. Stop Republicans from stealing the midterm elections, save our beloved universities, make Trump so angry he throws his McDonald’s french fries on the ground in fury? Vote Yes on 50. (Seriously, that’s one of the bits in lefty billionaire Tom Steyer’s cartoonish multimillion-dollar ad blitz.)

The barrage of ads in favor of Prop 50—which would temporarily pause California’s celebrated independent redistricting process and gerrymander the state’s congressional map in response to G.O.P. efforts to erase Democratic seats in Texas, Missouri, and possibly Indiana—have become inescapable here as Election Day nears. This summer, when Democrats in Sacramento rushed to put the measure on the November ballot, at Newsom’s urging, it was designed to write five Republicans out of California’s congressional map, at least until the next census. But the brash effort created something rather unusual in the country’s biggest state: an off-year election, with nothing else on the ballot to grab voters’ attention. And that means Newsom and his team have to work a bit harder than usual to turn out a usually reliable Democratic electorate. “Motivate, motivate, motivate,” said one Yes on 50 strategist and longtime Newsom advisor, describing their current strategy. “Polls don’t vote.”

Political watchers outside of California might assume that Yes on 50 is a surefire winner. How could a pro-democracy initiative backed by Newsom possibly fail in deep blue California? Trump’s approval rating in the state is stuck beneath the La Brea tar pits, after all. But polls also show that Democrats still have some work to do to convince voters that a special election about congressional redistricting is worth the time and money—especially when plenty of Californians believe leaders should be more focused on the cost of living, homelessness, and affordable housing.

A MESSAGE FROM BAYER

Bayer

Why glyphosate is backed by regulators worldwide

 

For 50 years, glyphosate-based products have been approved by regulators in the U.S., EU, Canada, Japan and more.

 

Bayer stands behind these findings, and Section 453 reinforces these science-based processes, keeping labels reliable and consistent.

 

Learn more about Section 453 here

Former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a gerrymandering foe who helped create the independent redistricting commission in 2008 and is now the main face of the No on 50 campaign, called the vote a dangerous waste of time. “The homelessness in California has nothing to do with Trump,” he told KFI radio last week. “That we have the highest rent payments anywhere in the nation has nothing to do with Trump. Housing prices, electricity prices—that has nothing to do with the federal government.” Those problems, he said, result from the state’s mismanagement by the very same people now pushing Prop 50. “Let’s stop it and vote ‘no,’” he said.

Two different polls last week showed support for the measure hovering around 50 percent—a winning number, though Newsom would like the margin to be higher as he pads his résumé ahead of the 2028 presidential cycle. Those same polls found about a third of voters opposing Prop 50, with about 15 percent undecided. That would suggest both sides have persuasion work to do, to better explain to those remaining voters what the measure does and get them out to vote. But this isn’t Michigan or Pennsylvania. Registered Dems outnumber Republicans by a nearly two-to-one margin in California, and Newsom is betting that blue mobilization is the whole ball game. “They are clearly playing the math game,” said Rob Stutzman, a veteran G.O.P. strategist in Sacramento. “It’s the strategy they’ve chosen, I think, wisely.”

The Money Bomb

Newsom’s strategists have turned the Prop 50 race into a national statement piece, telling Trump-hating Californians that passing the measure would represent a giant middle finger to the White House. “The mood in the country has soured—on the economy, on tariffs, his immigration actions,” the Yes on 50 advisor told me, framing a “yes” vote as a chance to “stop the president and his agenda that’s hurting you.” Meanwhile, the campaign has recruited so many national Democrats that their ads are starting to resemble an MSNBC booking slate. Elizabeth Warren, Jasmine Crockett, and Chris Murphy have all appeared in Prop 50 ads, as has Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who rarely volunteers for out-of-state campaigns but cut an ad in Spanish aimed at the state’s crucial Latino voting base. (“¡Sí en la 50!”) The latest star, who fronted an ad that launched on Tuesday, might be the biggest: Barack Obama.

Along with Newsom and his gleaming mug, these famous Dems are now swamping screens from broadcast to YouTube, with ads airing during Dodgers playoff games and the local news, thanks to the more than $140 million raised by the campaign so far. The vast sums pouring into Yes and its associated campaigns—including millions from Steyer, George Soros, various labor outfits, and the campaign arm for House Democrats in Washington—have dwarfed the fundraising totals for Prop 50’s opponents. (The leading groups urging Californians to vote “no” on 50—one led by former House speaker and Bakersfield native Kevin McCarthy, another funded by Schwarzenegger’s bow-tied billionaire donor Charles Munger—have raised only about half that.)

Newsom has also tapped his increasingly chummy relationship with progressive creators (also an important calling card for his possible presidential bid) to get the message out. A recent livestreamed fundraiser—originally named FAFO, for “Fuck Around and Find Out,” until Charlie Kirk was murdered—collected $1 million for the Yes campaign. Famous Dems like Hakeem Jeffries, Pete Buttigieg, and Beto O’Rourke were prominently featured, but they shared top billing with influencers and podcasters like Brian Tyler Cohen, Ben Meiselas, and the hosts of Pod Save America. “They’re hitting this thing from every angle,” Cohen told me, noting the emphasis on speaking with creators and “meeting audiences where they are.” He went on: “It’s a good model for other Dems to follow.”

Asymmetric Warfare

Despite its near ubiquity, the Yes campaign is far from universally beloved on the left, a dynamic that gives opponents some modest hope that Newsom might be embarrassed in November by something less than a blowout win. On a recent Saturday, I chatted with local Democrats in Manhattan Beach, a mostly white coastal community just south of LAX. They were running an outreach tent at the Hometown Fair, an annual fall festival with a petting zoo and vendors serving “pepper bellies,” which are open bags of Fritos drenched in nacho toppings, ballistic missiles targeting my acid reflux. The Dem volunteers were handing out Yes on 50 stickers and fliers that blared an anti-Trump message: “This isn’t politics as usual. It’s an emergency for our democracy.”

I asked them whether everyone wandering by their booth was on board with Newsom. The answer was complicated. “Most people are positive,” said Ann Gotthoffer, the president of the Beach Cities Democrats. Still, she said, she’d heard some Democrats say they might vote “no” because they themselves had fought for the nonpartisan redistricting commission. “They are afraid that if we do this, we will become too much like Republicans. I get it.” She described her countermessaging as essentially: “We can’t play a game where one team is playing by the rules and the other team isn’t.”

Megan Bowers, another volunteer, chimed in. “It’s temporary,” she said of the measure, which would pause independent redistricting only until 2030, after Trump leaves office. “That helps.” (Opponents of Prop 50 scoff at this notion. Jessica Millan Patterson, the former California G.O.P. chair who is helping McCarthy’s opposition group, said Democrats are just going to keep their newly gerrymandered seats. The measure, she said, “was drawn up by the very people who are running in these districts, and will run in them again when they have the chance, and that’s just disgusting.”)

Bayer

A few steps away, at a pop-up by the local branch of the League of Women Voters—which is officially nonpartisan and hasn’t taken a position on Newsom’s crusade—volunteers told me that plenty of California good-government types remain queasy about voting “yes.” Several of them, in fact, said they are voting “no,” but didn’t want to be identified because they didn’t want to speak on behalf of the LWV. “Nonpartisan redistricting is just the best way to go for drawing maps, and if the whole country did what we did, that would be the way to go,” one said. Another woman told me that opinions in her friend group are mixed. “People are conflicted,” she said. “Conceptually, what we have here in California with redistricting is the best. Why give up what we worked so hard to get?”

Strategists for No on 50 are realistic about their chances, which aren’t great given the spending disparity and star power on Team Newsom. Californians are historically prop-skeptical, and Newsom has lost a handful of prop races he’s attached his name to in the past, but most insiders expect this one to pass. Meanwhile, the biggest star on Team No, Schwarzenegger, remains well-liked, but is still a figure from a bygone era of pre-Trump California politics, and he’s reluctant to criticize Newsom, or any California governor, personally. (Nor does Arnold like Trump—he voted for Kamala Harris in 2024.)

But Prop 50 opponents are also sanguine about a possible coalition emerging against the measure—good government libs awkwardly joining forces with Republicans who hate Newsom—that might keep the winning margin below where Newsom would like. “Look, it’s California. It’s an uphill battle,” said one national Republican operative involved in the race. But this person pointed out that it’s harder to get people to vote “yes” for an initiative that isn’t immediately understandable. Plus, the Republicans are seeing the anti-Trump messaging, too, which may drive turnout on the G.O.P. side. “The fact that [the Yes side] is barely over 50 percent, and that’s the number they’re hitting consistently—that’s a red flag.”

“There Are Voters Who Don’t Trust Gavin”

Newsom, meanwhile, has made the campaign into a battle between himself and Trump, in an off-year, on an issue that doesn’t naturally resonate with people who aren’t close political watchers. That should work for the governor, and he can build on the race as he shapes his national reputation, Stutzman told me. “He’s building an organization that they can use moving forward. Trump gifted it to him. First the Los Angeles ICE raids, now this.” But, Stutzman said, the hyperpartisan nature of the messaging has the potential to turn off plenty of voters who might just stay home—or who aren’t really paying attention in the first place, especially given that it’s an off-year election. “There are also voters who don’t trust Gavin,” he said. “So this race is just politician-on-politician violence, and that isn’t really attractive unless you’re hardcore partisan.”

In other words, this election might look like so many other off-year or midterm elections in the Trump era, in which Democrats rely a little too much on turnout from the most hyper-engaged, college-educated types, without expanding their numbers among the working-class voters, young people, and Latinos who have drifted away from Democrats in the last decade. The Yes campaign is hoping this isn’t the case: Their field program is communicating with voters in eight different languages and partnering with several activist groups with deep ties to Spanish speakers and workers in California, including the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights (CHIRLA), the Dolores Huerta Foundation, and the SEIU. The Democratic National Committee, too, announced this month that they’re deploying some 40,000 volunteers to engage with Latino voters in the state.

Mike Madrid, the California-based political strategist who studies the Latino vote, said he thinks those who vote will probably side with Yes, in part because they aren’t happy with Trump’s management of the economy. But he said that California’s Latinos—who make up about a third of the state’s registered electorate—have soured on the Democratic Party too, and he’s watching to see how many will actually show up for Newsom in a special election about redistricting when the cost of living is still their primary concern. “Latinos now have the lowest partisan anchor of any demographic, and their dislike for Democrats right now is at video game levels,” Madrid told me. “What are you voting for with this prop? A Democratic Party you just rebuked last year, or Donald Trump, who is a bad alternative? When you can’t pay the rent or the mortgage, it’s hard to see a compelling reason to cast your ballot here. The resistance moms who worry about democracy—that’s who’s showing up.”

Impolitic with John Heilemann

Join Puck’s chief political columnist, John Heilemann, as he roams the corridors of power and influence in America on this twice-weekly interview show, taking you beyond the headlines with the people who shape our culture: icons and up-and-comers, incumbents and insurgents, moguls and machers in the overlapping worlds of politics, entertainment, tech, business, sports, media, and beyond. The conversations are rich and revealing, unrehearsed and unexpected… and reliably impolitic. A Puck-Audacy joint, new episodes drop every Wednesday and Friday.

Dry Powder

Unique and privileged insight into the private conversations taking place inside boardrooms and corner offices up and down Wall Street, relayed by best-selling author, journalist, and former M&A senior banker William D. Cohan.

Puck
Facebook Twitter Instagram LinkedIn

Need help? Review our FAQ page or contact us for assistance. For brand partnerships, email ads@puck.news.

You received this email because you signed up to receive emails from Puck, or as part of your Puck account associated with {{customer.email}}. To stop receiving this newsletter and/or manage all your email preferences, click here.

 

Puck is published by Heat Media LLC. 107 Greenwich St, New York, NY 10006

SEE THE ARCHIVES

SHARE
Try Puck for free

Sign up today to join the inside conversation at the nexus of Wall Street, Washington, A.I., Hollywood, and more.

Already a member? Log In


  • Daily articles and breaking news
  • Personal emails directly from our authors
  • Gift subscriber-only stories to friends & family
  • Unlimited access to archives

  • Exclusive bonus days of select newsletters
  • Exclusive access to Puck merch
  • Early bird access to new editorial and product features
  • Invitations to private conference calls with Puck authors

Exclusive to Inner Circle only



Latest Articles from Washington

Donald Trump
Julia Ioffe • October 15, 2025
The Greenland Mile
After claiming the “framework of a deal” to expand America’s presence on the world’s largest island, Trump has dropped his threats to invade Greenland. Thank God, because a direct assault on Greenland wasn’t going to be a cakewalk.
Donald Trump
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
Trump’s G.O.P. Greenlanditis
With his Davos speech, the president reassured jittery Republicans that invading Greenland is, for now, off the table. But conversations on the Hill have escalated, as even Trump’s G.O.P. allies warn that any move that blows up NATO could end his midterm hopes—and lead to impeachment, too.
ICE protest
Peter Hamby • October 15, 2025
Inside the Democratic ICE Storm
A remarkably candid conversation with Adam Jentleson, the founder and president of the Searchlight Institute, about the rhetorical fight over abolishing ICE that’s raging inside the Democratic Party.


Amy Klobuchar
Abby Livingston • October 15, 2025
Klobuchar’s Minnesota Succession Mess
Two days before the killing of Renee Good, news leaked that Senator Klobuchar was weighing a bid to succeed Tim Walz as governor of Minnesota. But while the chatter about Klobuchar has receded from the headlines, Democrats are quietly discussing the political impact of a second open Senate seat in 2026.
Kristi Noem
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
Will Democrats Impeach Kristi Noem?
While House Democrats are divided over how to challenge Trump, leadership is quietly building a case against the Homeland Security secretary—beginning with potential shadow hearings, outside the official committee structure, that would gather the evidence against her.
Tulsi Gabbard
Julia Ioffe • October 15, 2025
The Havana Hangover
After years of denials, Washington is finally reckoning with new reporting that would seem to confirm the existence of the alleged Russian directed-energy weapon that causes Havana syndrome—or what the U.S. government now calls “anomalous health incidents.” But will Tulsi Gabbard be allowed to release the O.D.N.I.’s own findings?


Donald Trump, John Thune
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
John Thune Has the Hardest Job in Washington
Can the Senate leader preserve his majority, manage his members’ competing agendas, and protect his institution—all while placating the president?


Get access to this story

Enter your email for a free preview of Puck’s full offering, including exclusive articles, private emails from authors, and more.

Verify your email and sign in by clicking the link we just sent.

Already a member? Log In


Start 14 Day Free Trial for Unlimited Access Instead →



Latest Articles from Washington

minneapolis ice shooting protests
Peter Hamby • October 15, 2025
Support for ICE Is Collapsing
Outside the right-wing echo chamber, polls tell the true story of an unprecedented drop in support for Trump’s immigration agency, which has swung 30 points in 12 months.
Nancy Pelosi
Abby Livingston • October 15, 2025
Pelosi Succession Chatter & Gavin-mander Aftershocks
Nancy Pelosi’s retirement in San Francisco, an Obama alum’s generational challenge in L.A., and a redrawn Orange County could end careers and launch new California stars.
Rand Paul, Lindsey Graham
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
The Ballad of Rand & Lindsey
The changing definition of “America First” has exploded tensions between two senators at opposite ends of the conservative foreign policy spectrum: the libertarian Rand Paul and the interventionist Lindsey Graham. If Paul won the ideological battle in the first term, Graham seems to have Trump’s ear in the second.


Nancy Pelosi, Hakeem Jeffries
Abby Livingston • October 15, 2025
The Wolves of First Street
The once quixotic, bipartisan crusade to ban congressional stock trading is gaining real momentum—but in the least productive Congress in history, getting Washington’s best-informed traders to give up their Robinhood accounts may be a long shot.
Lew Olowski
Julia Ioffe • October 15, 2025
The Big Olowski Has Left the Building
Lew Olowski, the State Department’s wacky, polarizing head of H.R., is said to have imploded at his farewell party when he learned that he wasn’t getting a coveted assignment.
Donald Trump
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
Trump’s Mile-High Revenge Tour
The president’s bizarre decision to wage a retaliatory political war on Colorado—including the MAGA stronghold that elected Lauren Boebert—could wind up costing him the House.


trump supporters gen z young men voters
Peter Hamby • October 15, 2025
Manospheres of Influence
The disaffected young men who helped elect Trump are fed up with high prices, worried about A.I., and frustrated by the president’s neocon turn. And, according to exclusive new polling data, they’re souring on Trump just as they turned on Joe Biden.
Get access to this story

Enter your email to get access to one article and free previews of our private emails from Puck authors and editors.

OR

Already a Member? Sign in



Latest Articles from Washington

Donald Trump
Julia Ioffe • October 15, 2025
Neocon Don
Trump’s largely consequence-free projection of military power in Iran and elsewhere laid the groundwork for last weekend’s shocking action in Venezuela—and validated a new framework for MAGA-style interventionism. But what happens when Xi starts playing by the same rules?
Mike Johnson chuck schumer Hakeem Jeffries
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
The Four Horsemen of Capitol Hill’s Apocalypse
A close look at the challenges, opportunities, and curveballs awaiting the Big Four congressional leaders in the new year: the M.T.G. mutiny, G.O.P. majority shrinkage, another shutdown, A.C.A. headaches, and Trump.
Ezra Klein
John Heilemann • October 15, 2025
The World According to Ezra
The Times columnist, podcast impresario, and would-be Democratic Party uber-reformer recaps the past year in politics—and explains why, despite his ongoing sense of alarm, he’s closing out 2025 feeling moderately hopeful.


april McClain Delaney
Abby Livingston • October 15, 2025
The Real House Members of Potomac
Ready or not, the midterm primary season is just days away. And, as analyst Jacob Rubashkin explains, just about anything can happen… including a congressional surprise in Texas and a Senate upset in Michigan.
Republicans
Leigh Ann Caldwell • October 15, 2025
The G.O.P.’s Midterm Polling Paradox
A few months ago, Republicans thought they had the country on autopilot. Now the party is stuck with a souring economy, beholden to Trump for turnout—whether they like it or not—and staring down an increasingly unpredictable midterm map.
Jim McDonnell
Peter Hamby • October 15, 2025
The ICE Storm
A candid conversation with L.A. police chief Jim McDonnell about the complicated reality of ICE raids, hyperbolic crime narratives, and preparing for the World Cup and 2028 Olympics in the second Trump era.


Dan Goldman
Abby Livingston • October 15, 2025
“The Mini Mamdanis Are Coming”
Dan Goldman, the popular resistance-lib congressman repping downtown Manhattan and much of brownstone Brooklyn, was a star on MSNBC. But in a year in which his rival was just endorsed by Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani, Democrats fear he could be among the biggest names to fall in a Tea Party–style reckoning.


  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact
  • FAQ
  • Careers
© 2026 Heat Media All rights reserved.
Create an account

Already a member? Log In

CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
OR YOUR EMAIL

OR

Use Email & Password Instead

USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Password strength:

OR

Use Another Sign-Up Method

Become a member

All of the insider knowledge from our top tier authors, in your inbox.

Create an account

Already a member? Log In

Verify your email!

You should receive a link to log in at .

I DID NOT RECEIVE A LINK

Didn't get an email? Check your spam folder and confirm the spelling of your email, and try again. If you continue to have trouble, reach out to fritz@puck.news.

CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Apple
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Apple
OR USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Password strength:

OR
Log In

Not a member yet? Sign up today

Log in with Google
Log in with Google
Log in with Apple
Log in with Apple
OR USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Don't have a password or need to reset it?

OR
Verify Account

Verify your email!

You should receive a link to log in at .

I DID NOT RECEIVE A LINK

Didn't get an email? Check your spam folder and confirm the spelling of your email, and try again. If you continue to have trouble, reach out to fritz@puck.news.

YOUR EMAIL

Use a different sign in option instead

Member Exclusive

Get access to this story

Create a free account to preview Puck’s full offering, including exclusive articles, private emails from authors, and more.

Already a member? Sign in

Free article unlocked!

You are logged into a free account as unknown@example.com

ENJOY 1 FREE ARTICLE EACH MONTH

Subscribe today to join the inside conversation at the nexus of Wall Street, Washington, A.I., Hollywood, and more.

START 14-DAY FREE TRIAL

  • Daily articles and breaking news
  • Personal emails directly from our authors
  • Gift subscriber-only stories to friends & family
  • Unlimited access to archives
  • Bookmark articles to create a Reading List
  • Quarterly calls with industry experts from the power corners we cover