Last Friday morning, hours after Israel initiated a bombing campaign on a depleted Iran, I awoke to the same confusion as everyone else, my mind reeling with questions. Was
Bibi Netanyahu really willing to open up a new front of war? Despite
Marco Rubio’s statement that Israel had acted unilaterally, had the White House and State Department offered their tacit approval? Or had the U.S. received only a brief diplomatic heads-up from its most important ally in the region? And perhaps most importantly, was this mounting regional crisis going to metastasize into a conflict with global implications?
Naturally, in those early hours, I asked the expert I knew and trusted the most: my partner
Julia Ioffe. Among other details, she was already transfixed by one of the storylines percolating through the Gang of 500 crowd in D.C.—early rumblings that Trump might have known about the attacks all along and strategically lulled Iran to sleep. Outside of the looming Senate negotiations on the president’s Big Beautiful Bill, of course, this was the talk of the town. Julia had already begun making calls within the intelligence and foreign policy communities, determined to make this the topic of her next piece.
Two days ago, Julia published her latest tour de force,
Inside Bibi’s Trump–Iran Psyop, which focused on the most recent twist in the skirmish: Israel’s attempt to publicly credit Trump for the initial attacks and thereby entice him to enter the fray. Indeed, both Israeli media and American outlets reported that Israel had coordinated the attacks with the U.S.
Barak Ravid, Axios’s ace on the region, quoted a pair of sources suggesting that the attacks had been “all coordinated with Washington.”
Had Trump really been a party to Bibi’s plan? Had he (very uncharacteristically) kept this secret to himself and his generals and cabinet officials? Or was Israel actually running a psychological operation, or psyop, on the ayatollahs—convincing them, as it were, that they already had the muscle of the U.S. president behind them?
Or… did Bibi, who has long been one of Trump’s staunchest defenders and supplicants, have something even more insidious up his sleeve.
In her brilliant piece, Julia laid out her own evolving scholarship on the topic. “In the week since the Israeli attack on Iran commenced, it’s been looking more and more like the story of that brilliant Trump–Bibi psyop was
itself a psyop, with Trump as the target,” she wrote. “Whatever the president’s level of involvement in, or assent to, Israel’s bombing campaign—and all we have now are conflicting accounts—it’s clear that Bibi knows how to manipulate his counterpart, possibly right into a war that Trump has claimed he doesn’t want.”
If you have any time this weekend, I behoove you to read Julia’s excellent report. It’s deeply sourced and remarkably insightful on the multiple levels of this international crisis, and an honest assessment of the players involved. Indeed, the aftermath of these two weeks will be one of the most consequential stories of our time, and precisely what you should expect from Puck.