• Washington
  • Wall Street
  • A.I.
  • Hollywood
  • Media
  • Fashion
  • Sports
  • Art
  • Join Puck Newsletters What is puck? Authors Podcasts Gift Puck Careers Events
  • Join Puck

    Directly Supporting Authors

    A new economic model in which writers are also partners in the business.

    Personalized Subscriptions

    Customize your settings to receive the newsletters you want from the authors you follow.

    Stay in the Know

    Connect directly with Puck talent through email and exclusive events.

  • What is puck? Newsletters Authors Podcasts Events Gift Puck Careers
Welcome back to Dry Powder. This evening, some news and notes on the most provocative Wall Street stories of the week.
 ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
Dry Powder

Happy Sunday.

Welcome back to Dry Powder. This evening, some news and notes on the most provocative Wall Street stories of the week: Jamie Dimon’s recession warning, Sheryl Sandberg’s next move, layoffs at Tesla, and trouble in E.S.G. land.

SPONSORED BY FACEBOOK
SPONSORED BY FACEBOOK
Dimon’s “Hurricane” & Sheryl’s Wall Street
Dimon’s “Hurricane” & Sheryl’s Wall Street
Wall Street and business gossips are already speculating about Jamie and Sheryl’s next moves. Plus: How Elon shot himself in the foot.
WILLIAM D. COHAN WILLIAM D. COHAN
Jamie Dimon, who has been at JPMorgan Chase since 2005 and led the big Wall Street firm masterfully through the great financial crisis, is normally pretty measured in his economic pronouncements, as befitting the chief executive of a nearly $400 billion company and the nation’s largest bank. But sometimes even disciplined leaders go off-script, and even get a little apocalyptic, as Dimon did this week at a research analyst conference when he was asked about the Federal Reserve’s ability to tame inflation.

At the JPMorgan Chase investors conference the week before, Dimon had been slightly more subdued, referring to the coming economic troubles as “big storm clouds.” Somehow, in the space of a few days, the storm became a hurricane. “Everyone thinks the Fed can handle this,” Dimon said. “That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way. We just don’t know if it’s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy, or Andrew or something like that, and you better brace yourself.” In any event, JPMorgan Chase’s crack communications team said Jamie’s comments at the investor conference were consistent with what he said at the investor day the week before. These are not the droids you’re looking for.

But if Jamie is right, and an “economic hurricane” is on the way, that’s not going to be pleasant and will mean that the Federal Reserve failed to navigate a soft-landing after nearly 13 years of the central bank’s easy money policies that basically inflated one asset bubble after another across the economic spectrum. Even as pessimistic as I have been, I don’t think I would have described what’s in store for us as an “economic hurricane.” I hope Jamie is wrong, but if he’s right, then sheesh, the situation could be very bad, obviously.

One theory making the rounds on the Manhattan dinner party circuit is that Jamie set up a bit of a “straw man” situation that he knows won’t be as bad as an “economic hurricane” and so he’ll come out looking good and then—wait for it—he’ll emerge as a viable candidate for president of the United States. I don’t buy this for a second (although I can certainly think of worse things than a President Dimon) but I feel duty-bound as your faithful servant to report the kinds of things that people are talking about.

Sheryl’s Next Move
I suspect Wall Street will miss Sheryl Sandberg, who joined Facebook in 2008, when it wasn’t yet profitable, and over the next decade helped turn the company into an unstoppable profit machine, with $188 billion in revenue last year and a market value of more than $500 billion. Not for nothing is Sandberg one of the few non-founder, non-C.E.O. executives ever to become a billionaire. She would, in fact, be worth a whole lot more if she hadn’t unloaded so much of her stock.

Her cultural influence probably peaked in 2013 with the publication of Lean In, her bestselling manifesto about the power women have to shape their lives and careers. Since then, her reputation seems to have suffered a few hits for her role in various Facebook scandals. Still, Sheryl is relatively young and plenty ambitious. I wouldn’t be surprised if she’s already been called about a few C.E.O. openings, if she even wants them. She will no doubt be much sought after, despite whatever role she may or may not have had in making Facebook/Meta a controversial social media platform.

She is a protégé of Larry Summers when he was president of Harvard, so I could see her being heavily recruited for an important role—provost?—at an elite academic institution. She also worked for Larry when he was Treasury Secretary, so perhaps she could be recruited to work in the Biden administration, as long as it’s not for a role that requires Senate confirmation, or even to run for office herself. (Dianne Feinstein’s Senate seat will soon be open.) But this seems like a longshot since distaste for Big Tech is a rare bipartisan issue in Washington. She’s also a best-selling author and I’m sure her publishers at Penguin Random House are already thinking of a new series or topic area for her. Sheryl, after all, is a brand, and you could imagine how her voice could be stretched across memoir, how-to, childrens, and other categories. In a past media world, she’d already be inking deals with Netflix and Spotify, but I think those days are done with.

So, if you ask me, she has quite an array of professional opportunities: corporate C.E.O., high government official, academia, best-selling author. But it looks like the first order of business will be attending to her third marriage, to Tom Bernthal, the C.E.O. of consulting company Kelton Global (and brother of actor Jon Bernthal, of Walking Dead fame). Public opinion about Facebook will not tarnish her reputation with the business community. Sheryl remains one of the most respected and accomplished corporate executives around. My guess is that she can pretty much write the next chapter of her life anyway she wants.

ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
Facebook is taking action to keep its platform safe

We have over 40,000 people working on safety and security across our platforms. That’s more than the size of the FBI.

And it's just one example of the work we’re doing to create safer connections for our communities.

Learn more about our work ahead.

Elon’s Foot-in-Mouth Disease
Elon Musk announced in a three-sentence company-wide email on Friday that Tesla will be laying off 10 percent of salaried employees, because, as he later explained, he has a “super bad feeling” about the U.S. economy. Fair enough, although perhaps hard to square with the news, also on Friday, that payrolls surged by 390,000 in May. Yes, the Fed is hiking interest rates, and there’s a potential hurricane on the horizon, to quote Dimon, but the labor market is still red hot and demand for electric vehicles is high. Ford, as President Biden noted when asked about Elon’s announcement, is currently increasing its investments in building new electric vehicles, and is hiring thousands of employees to meet the task. Rivian can’t keep up with demand for its vehicles, to the frustration of customers (including me).

Tesla, as I have been arguing for years, is irrationally overvalued, and arguably remains somewhat overvalued, even after its stock has dropped more than 40 percent this year. Could it be that Elon, watching his Silicon Valley peers get clobbered by the market correction, is simply being prudent by suggesting that some belt-tightening is in order?

It’s probably safe to say at this point that Elon does not operate by the normal rules of behavior, especially as they pertain to the C.E.O.s of public companies. But having a “super bad feeling” about the economy does not justify his impolitic pronouncement that he wants to lay off 10 percent of Tesla’s 110,000 employees, or 11,000 people. That’s a lot of people to lay off on what seems like a whim. On Friday, as often happens with Elon’s stray commentary, he clarified what apparently he meant by writing in a company-wide memo that “salaried” headcount would be reduced by 10 percent as it had become “overstaffed” in many areas, but that “hourly headcount” would increase and that the layoffs would not apply to anyone building cars, battery packs or solar panels. (Thank you for clarifying, Tesla lawyers!)

Regardless of the clarification, this is yet another example of Elon shooting himself in the foot with an off-the-cuff remark. The Tesla stock was down around 9 percent on Friday; a pretty sizable one-day loss of around $75 billion of market value for the company. Why Elon, why, do you need to think out loud?

In theory, culling the workforce of unproductive or unmotivated employees can be a valuable, if painful step, even for a growing company. Goldman Sachs does it. GE did it once upon a time. It’s a way to keep the workforce sharp and focused and motivated. No one wants to be in the bottom 10 percent. If handled with more aplomb, the idea of culling the workforce can be met with enthusiastic support by shareholders, who can envision a more productive workforce coupled with a reduction of costs. But Elon did not handle this situation with anything like aplomb. Needless to say, this will not be the approach to layoffs that will be found in textbooks.

Corporate Referen-duh
Finally, a few stray observations about the latest activist push in the E.S.G. realm. As the Journal reports, activist shareholders have put abortion right on the proxies of a few enormous retailers, including Walmart, Lowe’s, and TJ Maxx, which has in turn applied pressure on their biggest institutional investors—BlackRock, Vanguard, and so on—to also take a stance on this issue, perhaps opening the floodgates. These giant funds, after all, now hold stakes worth trillions of dollars on behalf of investors, as well as many of the associated voting rights. Not for nothing did Sam Zell sarcastically compare Larry Fink to God.

I hate to be a cynic, but the truth is these shareholder referenda, even when they are about substantive issues such as abortion or gun control, have little impact on the ongoing political debate. Part of the reason is that such shareholder referenda rarely pass (the activist-led proposal that Walmart produce a report detailing the impact of looming abortion restrictions on its employees was swiftly voted down). And then even when they do—such as the recent majority vote that Jamie Dimon didn’t need another $52.6 million option award to feel motivated to do his job—they are often non-binding and serve only to garner a little press attention and perhaps make the board of directors feel guilty enough to actually do something. (Dimon responded to the aforementioned wrist-slapping by promising, “The board takes it very seriously” but my bet is that he will still get his money or most of it.) But on issues such as abortion or gun control, which are typically well beyond the purview of a corporation or a corporate board, then we are really just talking about window dressing here.

It is worth noting that a number of Fortune 100 companies, including Goldman Sachs, Starbucks, Microsoft, and Amazon, have announced that they will pay for their employees to travel to states where abortion is legal, should the Supreme Court strike down Roe v. Wade. But this has little to do with corporate referenda and more to do with companies wanting to do the right thing for their employees if the law gets reversed, as is expected. Corporate referenda make for slightly amusing reading in an otherwise bland proxy statement but there’s no real substance behind the voting, whether shareholders vote for them or not. Sorry to burst any bubbles.

ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
FOUR STORIES WE'RE TALKING ABOUT
The Rick Carushow
The Rick Carushow
L.A.’s surging mayoral candidate has a deceptively conventional political message.
PETER HAMBY
The Biden Whisperer
The Biden Whisperer
Anita Dunn is using new optics tactics to give Biden a much-needed lift.
TARA PALMERI
Seth's Stolen Ape
Seth's Stolen Ape
Notes on a digital heist and the implications for N.F.T. rights.
ERIQ GARDNER
Roberts & Licht Buzz
Roberts & Licht Buzz
A conversation circling Comcast HQ and the depths of CNN.
DYLAN BYERS
swash divider
Facebook Twitter Instagram LinkedIn
You received this message because you signed up to receive emails from Puck

Was this email forwarded to you?

Sign up for Puck here

Sent to


Unsubscribe

Interested in exploring our newsletter offerings?

Manage your preferences

Puck is published by Heat Media LLC

64 Bank Street

New York, NY 10014

For support, just reply to this e-mail

For brand partnerships, email ads@puck.news

SEE THE ARCHIVES

SHARE
Try Puck for free

Sign up today to join the inside conversation at the nexus of Wall Street, Washington, A.I., Hollywood, and more.

Already a member? Log In


  • Daily articles and breaking news
  • Personal emails directly from our authors
  • Gift subscriber-only stories to friends & family
  • Unlimited access to archives

  • Exclusive bonus days of select newsletters
  • Exclusive access to Puck merch
  • Early bird access to new editorial and product features
  • Invitations to private conference calls with Puck authors

Exclusive to Inner Circle only



Latest Articles from Wall Street

Geoffroy van Raemdonck
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Saks Financial Colonoscopy
Amid a torrent of bankruptcy filings, a blunt declaration by Saks Global’s newly appointed chief restructuring officer lays out precisely what went wrong and when, and who got screwed hardest—plus which risk-hungry investors are likely to call the shots moving forward. As it turns out, the company’s capital structure became “unsustainable” almost immediately after its $2.7 billion acquisition of Neiman Marcus Group in December 2024.
David Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Ellison Way of Parenting
David Ellison’s latest schemes to wrest Warner Bros. from Netflix have proved insufficient after his previous negotiating tactics ran up the price. Meanwhile, he’s losing the respect of the WBD guys across the table. But will his dad come to the rescue with another, say, $10 billion to bail him out?
Patrick Drahi
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
A History of Creditor-on-Creditor Violence
Wall Street invented the coercive liability management exercise, which allows companies to play their creditors against one another as they extract beneficial terms for themselves—a now-routinized tradition referred to as “creditor-on-creditor violence.” But now Apollo, Oaktree, BlackRock, and JPMorgan Chase are teaming up to put an end to this mess.


Larry Ellison, David Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Zaz–Ellison Dagger Contest
Warner Bros. Discovery’s most recent S.E.C. filing reveals the latest battle lines between the company and its hostile suitor. In particular, the document evinces a deep distrust of Paramount Skydance’s proposed deal financing, recasting the $108 billion all-cash offer as an $87 billion L.B.O. that could fall apart before closing.
David Zaslav
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
What Is Zaz TV Really Worth?
The battle for Warner Bros. Discovery is increasingly coming down to how Netflix and Paramount Skydance value the declining TV assets (and CNN) that David Zaslav is determined to separate from the Warners mothership. Versant, which just started trading on Nasdaq this week, may provide the answer.
greg abel
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Make Berkshire Hathaway Great Again?
Greg Abel, the handpicked successor to Warren Buffett, faces one of the most exalted and daunting jobs in finance: determining what to do with the staggering $358 billion bequeathed to him by the most legendary investor of his generation. Herewith, three proposals for what Abel should buy with all that cash.


David Ellison, Larry Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Zaz Is From Mars, the Ellisons Are From Venus
Murmurs from sources close to the Warner Bros. Discovery deal illuminate the latest machinations surrounding the Paramount-Netflix showdown—and where this thing is headed.


Get access to this story

Enter your email for a free preview of Puck’s full offering, including exclusive articles, private emails from authors, and more.

Verify your email and sign in by clicking the link we just sent.

Already a member? Log In


Start 14 Day Free Trial for Unlimited Access Instead →



Latest Articles from Wall Street

Larry Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
“Larry Didn’t Show Up, and David Got Ahead of His Skis”
Everything you wanted to know about the Warner Bros. Discovery board’s doubts with the Ellisons’ bid (but were afraid to ask) is revealed in its 14D-9 filing—a mother lode of alleged Paramount missteps, from squabbles over consent provisions and breakup fee reimbursements to junior lien debt and the financial capacity of the world’s fifth-richest man.
larry ellison david ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Ellison Irrevocable Trust Issues
Despite their numerous bids for all of WBD, a rift has opened between the principals at Paramount Skydance and the board and advisors of their target company—at least for now. Can money heal all wounds?
larry ellison david ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Ellisons at the Gates
Paramount has raised the stakes in its hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, and may yet go higher. Now Netflix must decide how much it wants to venture into junk credit-rating territory, or play games with its stock, to secure the prize.


Larry Ellison, David Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Netflix’s $83B Math & The Ellison Hostile Meter
A talmudic reading of the mishegas following the $83 billion Netflix-WBD deal: Zaz’s personal economics; the likelihood that this turns hostile; the unusual consortium of banks underwriting the deal; the value of the Gunnar stub; regulatory open questions; the $5.8 billion breakup fee; and more.
Leon Black
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Epstein Monologues
The recently released, one-sided correspondence between Jeffrey Epstein and Leon Black illustrates a discourse between a hustler and a billionaire with too much money and too little time on his hands. So why couldn’t Black get rid of him sooner?
Mike Mayo
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Wall Street Enters the “Cockroach” Wars
The multitrillion-dollar growth of private credit is fueling an acrimonious debate on Wall Street over whether this surging shadow market is the future of finance or the seed corn of the next crisis. Is Rowan right? Or Dimon? Or Gundlach? As Mike Mayo put it, someone is wrong.


david zaslav
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Zaz the World Turns
News, notes, and palace intrigues from all sides of what might become the largest M&A deal of the year: the three-way tussle for David Zaslav’s Warner Bros. Discovery.
Get access to this story

Enter your email to get access to one article and free previews of our private emails from Puck authors and editors.

OR

Already a Member? Sign in



Latest Articles from Wall Street

wall street 1929
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Spirit of ’29
Financial history doesn’t repeat itself, but it does often rhyme. Amid a speculative frenzy, deregulation, trade wars, and a handful of megacaps propping up the markets, some of Wall Street’s brightest minds wonder whether 2026 might resemble 1929.
Marc Rowan
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Street Credit
A recent string of bankruptcies and defaults suggests some challenges in the seemingly indomitable private credit market. And yet, according to some O.G.s, things have never been better. Apollo’s Marc Rowan lays bare the risks and rewards.
David Ellison
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Ellisonology 101
In his first earnings call as C.E.O. of Paramount Skydance, David Ellison offered a masterclass in corporate optimism, promising “synergies” and artfully dodging questions about a possible Warner Bros. Discovery takeover. Alas, the time to act is here.


Michael Bloomberg
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
What Does Bloomberg Want for Bloomberg L.P.?
A modest proposal for how New York’s $100 billion man could bequeath his namesake, and its monumental profits in perpetuity.
Jim Chanos
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Mag Seven Itch
The market is notching record highs for the so-called Magnificent Seven—or should that be Mag 10?—but a subterranean counternarrative is forming as once-secure food and consumer staples crater, and cracks emerge in the $3 trillion private-credit boom.
Brian Roberts
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
The Brian Roberts–WBD Bull Case
A new analyst note highlights a heightened sense around Wall Street that Comcast co-C.E.O. Brian Roberts doesn’t merely want WBD, but also truly needs the company—and has a real shot at the asset.


Jamie Dimon
William D. Cohan • June 5, 2022
Jamie’s Castle in the Sky
Dimon’s $3 billion (or maybe as much as $5 billion, really) new headquarters is the physical embodiment of his fortress balance sheet and a metaphor for our fractional banking system. But the seeming permanence of its bronze facade shouldn’t fool old Wall Street hands, who know nothing is forever.


  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact
  • FAQ
  • Careers
© 2026 Heat Media All rights reserved.
Create an account

Already a member? Log In

CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
OR YOUR EMAIL

OR

Use Email & Password Instead

USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Password strength:

OR

Use Another Sign-Up Method

Become a member

All of the insider knowledge from our top tier authors, in your inbox.

Create an account

Already a member? Log In

Verify your email!

You should receive a link to log in at .

I DID NOT RECEIVE A LINK

Didn't get an email? Check your spam folder and confirm the spelling of your email, and try again. If you continue to have trouble, reach out to fritz@puck.news.

CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Google
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Apple
CREATE AN ACCOUNT with Apple
OR USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Password strength:

OR
Log In

Not a member yet? Sign up today

Log in with Google
Log in with Google
Log in with Apple
Log in with Apple
OR USE EMAIL & PASSWORD
Don't have a password or need to reset it?

OR
Verify Account

Verify your email!

You should receive a link to log in at .

I DID NOT RECEIVE A LINK

Didn't get an email? Check your spam folder and confirm the spelling of your email, and try again. If you continue to have trouble, reach out to fritz@puck.news.

YOUR EMAIL

Use a different sign in option instead

Member Exclusive

Get access to this story

Create a free account to preview Puck’s full offering, including exclusive articles, private emails from authors, and more.

Already a member? Sign in

Free article unlocked!

You are logged into a free account as unknown@example.com

ENJOY 1 FREE ARTICLE EACH MONTH

Subscribe today to join the inside conversation at the nexus of Wall Street, Washington, A.I., Hollywood, and more.

START 14-DAY FREE TRIAL

  • Daily articles and breaking news
  • Personal emails directly from our authors
  • Gift subscriber-only stories to friends & family
  • Unlimited access to archives
  • Bookmark articles to create a Reading List
  • Quarterly calls with industry experts from the power corners we cover