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Welcome back to The Stratosphere. I’m Teddy Schleifer.
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Tonight, a scoop surrounding Oracle billionaire Larry Ellison’s support for his favorite ’24 hopeful, Tim Scott. If you missed it, some big news today on the homefront here at Puck—and if you’re looking for more, I guest hosted today’s Pivot pod with my old boss, Kara Swisher.
But first, an update on Sam Bankman-Fried’s latest legal twist…
- The Southern District giveth, the Southern District taketh away. Just when you thought that the circle of political and nonprofit operatives who surrounded Sam Bankman-Fried were going to ride off into the sunset—without being hauled to the witness stand or having their work evaluated by a federal jury—the Southern District said on Tuesday that, actually, they were going to try S.B.F. on campaign-finance violations.
Two weeks ago, you’ll recall that prosecutors there agreed to drop the eighth count against S.B.F. because of a technicality—the feds had to honor the extradition agreement that they had signed with the Bahamas, which sent S.B.F. to the U.S. to face only seven, specific charges last year. But then on Tuesday afternoon, prosecutors unexpectedly told the court that they were going to fold the core campaign-finance allegations (using customer deposits to buy political influence, and then executing a straw-donor scheme) into the existing seven counts of wire fraud, money laundering, etcetera, that the Bahamian government did approve.
We’ll have to see whether the superseding indictment next week is essentially a copy-and-paste job from the eighth count of the last indictment, or actually introduces anything new. But one credible theory is that this new indictment is a roundabout way for prosecutors to incorporate whatever incriminating evidence and witnesses they already collected this year on S.B.F.’s political operation, even if they’re not charging him on a campaign-finance violation itself. One of those witnesses, it seems? Ryan Salame, the Republican mega-donor who Bloomberg reported today is now in “talks” (whatever that means) for a plea deal focused in part on campaign-finance violations. I look forward to seeing all the Republicans who attacked S.B.F. for his Democratic political crimes voicing outrage at a similar volume.
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| Larry Ellison’s Eight-Figure Anti-Trump Dowry |
| From the start, Ellison stood alone in his unwavering support for Tim Scott. Now, a still-secret eight-figure check promises to turn the candidate into a Late Stage DeSantis alternative for the Wall Street and Silicon Valley crowd. |
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| When aides supporting Tim Scott filed reams of paperwork with the Federal Election Commission last week, the name Larry Ellison came up only once—on March 23, attached to a $2,566.13 in-kind contribution for “lodging.” The legally-required disclosure, which suggests that Ellison merely offered Scott or his staff a crash pad, surprised insiders close to Scott’s presidential campaign. Ellison, after all, has long been Scott’s most opulent benefactor, fueling his super PAC with an astounding $35 million over the past three years in anticipation of this very moment. But in the first half of the year, according to F.E.C. documents, the world’s fifth richest person gave $0 to his preferred candidate—an apparent snub from the billionaire Scott hailed at his presidential kick-off as “one of my mentors.”
Ellison’s conspicuous absence during this reporting period wasn’t an accident. It was, I’ve learned, part of an intentional strategy. Ellison has already decided to make a massive donation to Scott’s super PAC, which should be wired soon if it hasn’t landed in his account already. The commitment, described to me as a planned eight-figure contribution, would be at minimum the second largest contribution in the Republican presidential primary thus far. If the gift eclipses the $20 million given by Robert Bigelow to boost Ron DeSantis, it would be the single biggest check of the entire 2024 race. |
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A MESSAGE FROM OUR SPONSOR
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Autonomous vehicles offer California a future with safer roads, cleaner air, and inclusive transportation – we shouldn’t let politics stand in the way of progress. Tell the California Public Utilities Commission that you support AVs and want to see them approve permits in San Francisco. |
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| Ellison, who famously keeps his own counsel, is emotional about candidates, falling hard for politicians like Bibi Netanyahu, Marco Rubio and now Scott. (His support for Trump was a bit more circumspect.) But Ellison has deliberately cooled his jets to help manage the optics of his extraordinary financial support. The arrival of this particular check, I’m told, has been explicitly timed by Scott’s and Ellison’s teams to hit the wire only after June 30, outside the most recent F.E.C. filing period. As a result, the donation won’t be publicly documented until the next super PAC filing deadline, which isn’t until late January, after the Iowa caucuses, a lifetime from now. (Ellison and his spokespeople didn’t return requests for comment. A spokesman for the Scott super PACs, overseen by primo G.O.P. strategist Rob Collins and former Colorado senator Cory Gardner, declined to comment.)
These sorts of games aren’t uncommon among sophisticated big-money operatives. By delaying his next check until after the deadline, it will be months before Scott’s rivals know exactly how much Ellison donated, exactly how much money the super PAC has on hand, and exactly how much the groups are prepared to spend on Larry’s behalf. (I know that even some people working with the PAC are still in the dark.) That sort of strategic ambiguity is all upside for Scott: After all, there’s essentially zero difference between an ad-buyer having money to play with on June 29 versus July 2, but it makes a hug difference in terms of his team’s ability to manage expectations, control the media narrative, and confuse Scott’s rivals. |
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| Protecting, cultivating, and tending to Ellison has been a priority of the highest order for Scott world, and for good reason. The billionaire Oracle founder is the crown jewel of the finance operation around the candidate, and pissing him off would screw up everything. Nevertheless, the existence of the potential Ellison check has taken on almost mythological status among Ellison and Scott insiders—always spoken of, but never actually seen. Some of Scott’s bundlers have tried to scrutinize stray comments about Ellison’s plans that Scott’s staff have let slip. Meanwhile, Scott’s own campaign staff, as you might expect, are very curious about what Ellison is doing over on the super PAC side.
Other Scott hands have turned into amateur paid-media trackers and campaign-finance sleuths, deducing that there had to be a major check cut sometime after June 30, given that the Scott super PACs announced a $40 million advertising campaign when they only had about $15 million cash on hand. “I would assume that Ellison cut a massive check on, like, July 1,” said one of these chin-scratchers close to the operation. “It must be.”
Until somewhat recently, even Scott could only guess what Ellison’s total pledge might be. He didn’t launch his campaign with a handshake commitment from Ellison for any particular dollar amount, as I previously reported. Ellison himself didn’t have any of the details figured out, according to a person who talked with him. “There’s no man with a plan,” that person told me earlier this year. One person working with Scott told me last week they thought Ellison would eventually give at least $30 million to the super PAC this cycle. |
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| Now is a good time to double down. Scott has been trending upward in horse race polls, and he has never been more popular among Wall Street and Silicon Valley donors, according to his bundlers, especially as DeSantis struggles to seal the deal. (In his latest attempt at a reset, DeSantis ousted campaign manager Generra Peck.) Billionaire Henry Kravis and former R.N.C. chairman Ken Mehlman, also of KKR, hosted Scott before Wall Street heavies earlier this summer, I reported the other week, and Stan Druckenmiller and Marc Rowan have him in The Hamptons tomorrow. Who knows if money means anything anymore, but Scott has never had more of an opportunity than he does right now.
The donor enthusiasm surrounding Scott—and, frankly, the enthusiasm for Ellison’s enthusiasm—is a turn of events. Around the beginning of the year, there was a real concern in elite G.O.P. circles that Ellison would patronize Scott as Sheldon Adelson lavished Newt Gingrich in 2012—an act of unbridled donor erogeny that delayed the eventual consolidation around Mitt Romney. If Ellison keeps on funding Scott’s super PAC well past Scott’s sell-by date, as Romney himself worries, then won’t Scott’s presence divide the anti-Trump vote, allowing Trump to once again trample the Republican field? Of course, that concern has aged pretty poorly: Larry Ellison is not Ron DeSantis’s problem. There’s increasing reason to view Scott, not DeSantis, as the strongest vessel to oppose Trump.
That is, if a viable vessel even exists. Indeed, there is a real sense of dejection, and even nihilism, among major Republican contributors these days. Maybe Trump can’t be dethroned at all, and scheming donors and enterprising journalists alike are wasting their time on a Republican primary that is not, and never will be, competitive. “I feel like it is malpractice for most fundraisers and candidates to suggest that there is a way to beat him,” said one G.O.P. fundraiser who has recently come to believe that Trump’s lead is “insurmountable” and that he and his peers are fools to hope otherwise. “I don’t see how you overcome the base voter, even with all the money.” |
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| FOUR STORIES WE’RE TALKING ABOUT |
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| Strike Setbacks |
| Is Hollywood’s labor dispute back to square one? |
| JONATHAN HANDEL |
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