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House Republicans, shaking off their post-recess stupor, are returning to Washington just in time for a familiar political crisis. Once again, hardline members of the G.O.P. caucus are threatening a government shutdown on September 30 if they don’t get their way—and once again they’ve placed a procedural gun to the head of Speaker Kevin McCarthy. “In order to appease them, Kevin’s gonna have to give them something,” a Republican source familiar with the state of negotiations told me, sounding understandably exasperated.