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In a way, a government shutdown is among the more normal things to occur in Washington since Donald Trump returned to the White House—certainly more normal than the U.S. government taking stakes in private companies, or the president selling his own cryptocurrency, or the military being deployed to American cities, etcetera. This part is all comfortingly familiar. The tactics, the strategy, the weak-kneed, the hard-liners: They’re all part of the same predictable narrative we experienced three times already in Trump’s first term.